Trump claims presidents nearly always lose midterms, urges Republicans to brace for 2026

Donald Trump warned Republicans of historic midterm losses, noting presidents' parties kept Congress only 'four times in the last 150 years'
Donald Trump argued midterm losses stemmed from psychology, not performance, noting no clear reason had ever been defined (Michael M Santiago/Getty Images)
Donald Trump argued midterm losses stemmed from psychology, not performance, noting no clear reason had ever been defined (Michael M Santiago/Getty Images)


WASHINGTON, DC: President Donald Trump appeared on Fox News’s ‘Hannity’ on Thursday, January 8, and discussed the upcoming midterm elections. Trump, who had previously also voiced his opinion about the possibility of his impeachment if Republicans lost the midterm elections, doubled down on his claims.

He told Sean Hannity during the interview that a sitting president always loses the midterm elections, even if they had done well for the country. He added that he believed he had done a good job, but was aware of the possibility that history could repeat itself.  

WASHINGTON, DC - FEBRUARY 13: U.S. President Donald Trump listens as Indian Prime Minister Narendra Modi speaks during a joint press conference in the East Room at the White House on February 13, 2025 in Washington, DC. Prime Minister Modi is meeting with President Trump to discuss tariffs and trade relations in the wake of President Trump’s announcement on implementing reciprocal tariffs. (Photo by Alex Wong/Getty Images)
President Donald Trump listens as Indian Prime Minister Narendra Modi speaks during a joint press conference in the East Room at the White House on February 13, 2025, in Washington, DC (Alex Wong/Getty Images)

Trump remains hopeful about the upcoming midterm elections

During his conversation with Sean Hannity on Thursday, President Donald Trump stated that in the last 100 years, the sitting party had been able to maintain power only three times.

“Four times in the last 150 years,” he said.

Trump noted that, irrespective of the political party, the sitting president “always loses the midterm.” He added that people would think that there was a 50/50 probability. However, regardless of the president’s performance, he could lose.

President Donald Trump gestures during a meeting of his Cabinet in the Cabinet Room of the White House on December 02, 2025 in Washington, DC. A bipartisan Congressional investigation has begun regarding Secretary of War Pete Hegseth's role in ordering U.S. military strikes on small boats in the waters off Venezuela that have killed scores of people, which Hegseth said are intended
President Donald Trump gestures during a meeting of his Cabinet in the Cabinet Room of the White House on December 02, 2025, in Washington, DC (Chip Somodevilla/Getty Images)

“I think we’ve done a great job. We’ve done maybe the best job ever in the first year, but they always seem to lose the midterm,” Trump told Hannity. 

The president added that it seemed psychological for the voters, and while he didn’t know why it exactly happened, it was an unlikely scenario.

He admitted that it didn’t make sense and nobody had been able to define why it happened, but said that he was hopeful the Trump administration could change that. 

Trump touts administration’s work 

While speaking to Sean Hannity, Donald Trump stated that his administration had done incredible work. He added that they passed the 'Great Big Beautiful Bill' and had been able to bring down taxes.

President Donald Trump dances to the final performance of the Village People during the FIFA World Cup 2026 Official Draw at John F. Kennedy Center for the Performing Arts on December 05, 2025 in Washington, DC. (Photo by Dan Mullan/Getty Images)
President Donald Trump dances to the final performance of the Village People during the FIFA World Cup 2026 Official Draw at the John F Kennedy Center for the Performing Arts on December 05, 2025, in Washington, DC (Dan Mullan/Getty Images)

“We have so many things, and we’re respected all over the world again as we’ve never been respected before,” Trump stated. 

He added that under his leadership, there had been a cut in taxes on social security, tips, and overtime. Trump added that his administration had been able to achieve things nobody thought were possible.

The president predicted that the Republican Party could defy the polls and secure the midterm, although some of his allies thought otherwise.

Nancy Mace warned the republicans earlier this week that the party had not done enough to maintain control of the House in 2026. Jesse Watters from Fox News also predicted that the Republicans might be at a loss during the midterm elections. 

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