Chris Matthews says Trump’s Pennsylvania visit signals start of 2026 midterms

'He knows where all the vulnerable seats are... So, we’re watching the beginning of the '26 election right now,' Chris Matthews said
Chris Matthews pointed out that Donald Trump’s decision to head to Pennsylvania was strategic, not coincidental, during an appearance on MS NOW (MS NOW/YouTube, Getty Images)
Chris Matthews pointed out that Donald Trump’s decision to head to Pennsylvania was strategic, not coincidental, during an appearance on MS NOW (MS NOW/YouTube, Getty Images)

WASHINGTON, DC: Veteran political commentator Chris Matthews believes the 2026 midterm elections are already underway, and he says President Donald Trump’s recent trip to Pennsylvania was the clearest signal yet.

Speaking on MS NOW's 'Morning Joe' on Friday, December 12, Matthews argued that Trump’s rally-style appearance earlier this week wasn’t about governing; it was about damage control in a state Republicans know they could lose.

According to Matthews, the president’s instincts are telling him something important — MAGA is starting to look vulnerable.

Chris Matthews says Trump knows where he’s 'vulnerable'

Matthews told the panel that Trump’s decision to head to Pennsylvania was strategic, not coincidental.

“The first sign of next year’s election was this week when Trump went up to [Pennsylvania] — he knows where he’s vulnerable,” Matthews said. He added that Trump is acutely aware of which congressional districts are in play.

Donald Trump films a town hall meeting for MSNBC with Chris Matthews at the Weidner Center located on the University of Wisconsin Green Bay campus on March 30, 2016 in Green Bay, Wisconsin. Candidates are campaigning ahead of the Wisconsin primary on April 5. (Photo by Tom Lynn/Getty Images)
Donald Trump films a town hall meeting for MSNBC with Chris Matthews at the Weidner Center located on the University of Wisconsin Green Bay campus on March 30, 2016, in Green Bay, Wisconsin (Getty Images)

“He knows where all the vulnerable seats are. And the Democrats have targeted those very seats to change again next year,” Matthews added. “So, we’re watching the beginning of the ’26 election right now.” 

Pennsylvania remains one of the country’s most competitive swing states, and Matthews suggested that Trump’s presence there reflects growing anxiety within Republican ranks rather than confidence.

Trump’s rally remarks revive familiar rhetoric

At the Pennsylvania event, Trump bounced rapidly from topic to topic, a style Matthews noted has become increasingly disconnected from kitchen-table concerns.

President Donald Trump acknowledges the crowd at an event at Mount Airy Casino Resort on December 9, 2025 in Mount Pocono, Pennsylvania. Trump discussed his administation's economic agenda and its efforts to lower the cost of living. (Photo by Alex Wong/Getty Images)
President Donald Trump acknowledges the crowd at an event at Mount Airy Casino Resort on December 9, 2025, in Mount Pocono, Pennsylvania (Alex Wong/Getty Images)

At one point, Trump revisited controversial immigration rhetoric, asking aloud, “Why is it we only take people from s**thole countries, right? Why can’t we have some people from Norway? Sweden? Just a few? Let us have a few from Denmark.” 

He then claimed the United States only accepts immigrants “from Somalia, places that are a disaster, right? Filthy, dirty, disgusting, ridden with crime. The only thing they’re good at is going after ships.”

President Donald Trump delivers remarks during an event at Mount Airy Casino Resort on December 9, 2025 in Mount Pocono, Pennsylvania. Trump discussed his administration's economic agenda and its efforts to lower the cost of living. (Photo by Alex Wong/Getty Images)
President Donald Trump delivers remarks during an event at Mount Airy Casino Resort on December 9, 2025, in Mount Pocono, Pennsylvania (Alex Wong/Getty Images)

The remarks reignited criticism from Democrats and advocacy groups, while reinforcing Matthews’ point that Trump is relying on familiar grievance politics as pressure mounts.

Economic strain adds to Republican vulnerability

President Donald Trump delivers remarks during an event at Mount Airy Casino Resort on December 9, 2025 in Mount Pocono, Pennsylvania. Trump discussed his administration's economic agenda and its efforts to lower the cost of living. (Photo by Alex Wong/Getty Images)
President Donald Trump delivers remarks during an event at Mount Airy Casino Resort on December 9, 2025, in Mount Pocono, Pennsylvania ( Alex Wong/Getty Images)

Matthews’ analysis comes as voters continue to feel the effects of a slowing economy, rising costs, and political fatigue. Several analysts have noted that Trump’s once-iron grip on the Republican Party appears less absolute than it did just a few years ago. 

That assessment was echoed by former Transportation Secretary Pete Buttigieg, who pointed to Indiana lawmakers recently refusing to redraw congressional maps despite Trump’s public pressure and threats.

Pete Buttigieg says Republicans are already planning for life after Trump

Buttigieg suggested the Indiana decision signals something deeper than a single policy disagreement. “In the same way that before taking over this country, he took over his party, I think the way that his party is starting to collapse will be first within his party and then more broadly in the country,” the Democrat said.

President Donald Trump enters to deliver remarks during an event at Mount Airy Casino Resort on December 9, 2025 in Mount Pocono, Pennsylvania. President Trump was discussing his administration's economic agenda and its efforts to lower the cost of living. (Photo by Alex Wong/Getty Images)
President Donald Trump enters to deliver remarks during an event at Mount Airy Casino Resort on December 9, 2025, in Mount Pocono, Pennsylvania (Alex Wong/Getty Images)

He argued that some Republicans are quietly preparing for a political future without Trump at the center. “These Republicans are doing something that many in my party are still struggling to do — which is actually to imagine what happens next,” Buttigieg explained.

He added pointedly, “They’re doing this because they’re thinking ahead because they are aware of something we know as a fact is true, but we have trouble actually picturing, which is that a day will come when Donald Trump is no longer active in American politics.”

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