Election prediction legend Allan Lichtman reveals his pick for 2024 presidential race

Allan Lichtman, who called results correctly in 2016 and 2020, analyzes results based on an historical index model he dubs 'Keys to the White House'
PUBLISHED SEP 5, 2024
Allan Lichtman has correctly predicted 2016 and 2020 results (screengrab YouTube/NYT, Getty Images)
Allan Lichtman has correctly predicted 2016 and 2020 results (screengrab YouTube/NYT, Getty Images)

WASHINGTON, DC: Celebrated election expert Allan Lichtman has revealed his pick for presidential race 2024.

On Thursday, September 5, the ‘Nostradamus’ of presidential election predictions told New York Times, it will be Kamala Harris who will prevail on November 5.

“The Democrats will hold on to the White House, and Kamala Harris will be the next president of the United States. At least, that’s my prediction for this race,” Lichtman said in the op-ed video.

The professor, who called the results correctly in 2016 and in 2020, analyzes results based on an historical index model he dubs the “Keys to the White House.”

WASHINGTON, DC - MAY 03:  (L-R) Dr. Allan Lichtman, professor of history at American University; and
Dr Allan Lichtman is a professor of history at American University (Getty Images)

What is 'Keys to the White House' system?



 

'Keys to the White House' is a system which he developed in the early 1980s with the Russian geophysicist Vladimir Keilis-Borok.

It digs deep through the political landscape by using the 13 true-false statements focused on the incumbent president’s party, reports CNBC.

WASHINGTON, DC - AUGUST 27: Democratic Vice Presidential nominee Sen. Kamala Harris (D-CA.), deliver
Kamala Harris is reportedly leading in polls amid presidential race for November election (Getty Images)

Accordingly, if half of the statements are not true, then the opposition party leader is predicted to win, which is Donald Trump in this case.

These keys include party mandate, contest, incumbency, third party, short-term economy, long-term economy, policy change social unrest, scandal, incumbent charisma, challenger charisma, foreign/military failure, and foreign/military success. 



 

Internet divided over Allan Lichtman's prediction for 2024 presidential elections

Netizens shared their honest take on Allan Lichtman's prediction which seemed fairly divided. A few called his assessment unreliable, while others agreed with him.

One person wrote on X, "Idk man, politics is wild rn 🤷‍♂️. both got their pros n cons."

"Now that our government rigs elections, it’s very easy to predict who will win. It will be the globalists," another speculated.



 

A user expressed, "This old coot claimed Biden shouldn’t drop up because his formula said Biden was almost assured to win. Meanwhile, in the soft coup Pelosi told Biden he had no path to victory."

Another used slammed Lichtman's prediction, "Trump will win and the Leftists will pack the ballot boxes in the big cities again."

"When Lichtman speaks, election trends listen—here’s hoping his prediction rings true for Harris!" one supported prediction.

Another joined in, "Absolutely! Allan Lichtman knows what he's talking about. Kamala's time is now! Together, we're moving forward and embracing a brighter future! 🚀❤️"

"Kamala will win it easily this time, Trump can't compete with such a competent woman," chimed one.

 A person joked about Trump's convictions saying, "Can he do one for how long Trump is going to spend in prison."



 



 



 



 



 



 



 



 

This article contains remarks made on the Internet by individual people and organizations. MEAWW cannot confirm them independently and does not support claims or opinions being made online.

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