Election prediction legend Allan Lichtman reveals his pick for 2024 presidential race

Allan Lichtman, who called results correctly in 2016 and 2020, analyzes results based on an historical index model he dubs 'Keys to the White House'
PUBLISHED SEP 5, 2024
Allan Lichtman has correctly predicted 2016 and 2020 results (screengrab YouTube/NYT, Getty Images)
Allan Lichtman has correctly predicted 2016 and 2020 results (screengrab YouTube/NYT, Getty Images)

WASHINGTON, DC: Celebrated election expert Allan Lichtman has revealed his pick for presidential race 2024.

On Thursday, September 5, the ‘Nostradamus’ of presidential election predictions told New York Times, it will be Kamala Harris who will prevail on November 5.

“The Democrats will hold on to the White House, and Kamala Harris will be the next president of the United States. At least, that’s my prediction for this race,” Lichtman said in the op-ed video.

The professor, who called the results correctly in 2016 and in 2020, analyzes results based on an historical index model he dubs the “Keys to the White House.”

WASHINGTON, DC - MAY 03:  (L-R) Dr. Allan Lichtman, professor of history at American University; and
Dr Allan Lichtman is a professor of history at American University (Getty Images)

What is 'Keys to the White House' system?



 

'Keys to the White House' is a system which he developed in the early 1980s with the Russian geophysicist Vladimir Keilis-Borok.

It digs deep through the political landscape by using the 13 true-false statements focused on the incumbent president’s party, reports CNBC.

WASHINGTON, DC - AUGUST 27: Democratic Vice Presidential nominee Sen. Kamala Harris (D-CA.), deliver
Kamala Harris is reportedly leading in polls amid presidential race for November election (Getty Images)

Accordingly, if half of the statements are not true, then the opposition party leader is predicted to win, which is Donald Trump in this case.

These keys include party mandate, contest, incumbency, third party, short-term economy, long-term economy, policy change social unrest, scandal, incumbent charisma, challenger charisma, foreign/military failure, and foreign/military success. 



 

Internet divided over Allan Lichtman's prediction for 2024 presidential elections

Netizens shared their honest take on Allan Lichtman's prediction which seemed fairly divided. A few called his assessment unreliable, while others agreed with him.

One person wrote on X, "Idk man, politics is wild rn 🤷‍♂️. both got their pros n cons."

"Now that our government rigs elections, it’s very easy to predict who will win. It will be the globalists," another speculated.



 

A user expressed, "This old coot claimed Biden shouldn’t drop up because his formula said Biden was almost assured to win. Meanwhile, in the soft coup Pelosi told Biden he had no path to victory."

Another used slammed Lichtman's prediction, "Trump will win and the Leftists will pack the ballot boxes in the big cities again."

"When Lichtman speaks, election trends listen—here’s hoping his prediction rings true for Harris!" one supported prediction.

Another joined in, "Absolutely! Allan Lichtman knows what he's talking about. Kamala's time is now! Together, we're moving forward and embracing a brighter future! 🚀❤️"

"Kamala will win it easily this time, Trump can't compete with such a competent woman," chimed one.

 A person joked about Trump's convictions saying, "Can he do one for how long Trump is going to spend in prison."



 



 



 



 



 



 



 



 

This article contains remarks made on the Internet by individual people and organizations. MEAWW cannot confirm them independently and does not support claims or opinions being made online.

GET BREAKING U.S. NEWS & POLITICAL UPDATES
STRAIGHT TO YOUR INBOX.

MORE STORIES

Talking about her political viewpoint, Kai Trump emphasizes, 'There's no bad blood'
5 hours ago
President urged party unity ahead of midterm elections and warned that losing control of Congress could lead to renewed impeachment efforts
13 hours ago
Speaking at a House Republican retreat on the anniversary of the Capitol attack, the President repeated allegations of a broken electoral system and questioning the 2020 election results
14 hours ago
President Trump singled out the Kentucky Republican claiming ‘something is wrong’ with the congressman after he criticized the Venezuela raid
16 hours ago
In her first public remarks since formally leaving Congress, Greene used the Capitol riot anniversary to cast jailed defendants as victims of political persecution
17 hours ago
Court filings reveal the Justice Department has released only a fraction of the Jeffrey Epstein records, weeks after the mandated deadline passed
18 hours ago
The outspoken anti-Trump conservative enters the race in New York’s 12th District with a singular mission of opposing the President
20 hours ago
Donald Trump’s administration will freeze $10B+ in CCDF, TANF, and social services funds to Democrat-led states over alleged non-citizen fraud
1 day ago
Senator Richard Blumenthal asks whether the Trump administration has any coherent strategy to manage Venezuela
1 day ago
CDC cut the childhood vaccine list from 18 to 11, mirroring Denmark's model to simplify requirements and rebuild trust in public health
1 day ago