Fact Check: Does 90% of healthcare spending treats chronic disease?

Chronic illness is any condition that lasts longer than a year, requiring restrictions or ongoing treatment
In January 2026, Robert F Kennedy said 90% of healthcare spending treats chronic disease (Getty Images)
In January 2026, Robert F Kennedy said 90% of healthcare spending treats chronic disease (Getty Images)

WASHINGTON, DC: In January 2026, Health and Human Services Secretary Robert F Kennedy Jr said during his announcement that the CDC reports that 90% of healthcare spending treats chronic disease.

Similarly, the 'Real Food' website also has the statistic that '90% of US healthcare spending goes to treating chronic disease — much of which is linked to diet and lifestyle.' But is there any truth to this? Let us find out below.

Claim: 90% of healthcare spending treats chronic disease

The statistic also appeared in the dietary guidelines of the 'Real Food' website. The line read, "The United States is amid a health emergency. Nearly 90% of health care spending goes to treating people who have chronic diseases."

"Many of these illnesses are not genetic destiny; they are the predictable result of the Standard American Diet — a diet which, over time, has become reliant on highly processed foods and coupled with a sedentary lifestyle," the statement added. 

WASHINGTON, DC - JUNE 24: Health and Human Services (HHS) Secretary Robert F. Kennedy Jr. testifies before the House Energy and Commerce Committee Health Subcommittee in the Rayburn House Office Building on June 24, 2025 in Washington, DC. The committee met to hear testimony on the FY2026 Department of Health and Human Services budget. (Photo by Kayla Bartkowski/Getty Images)
Health and Human Services Secretary Robert F Kennedy Jr testifies before the House Energy and Commerce Committee Health Subcommittee in the Rayburn House Office Building on June 24, 2025, in Washington, DC (Kayla Bartkowski/Getty Images)

In the United States, Chronic illness includes any condition lasting longer than a year that requires restrictions or ongoing treatment. The most common types are asthma, anxiety, depression, hypertension, high cholesterol, Type 2 diabetes, and osteoarthritis. 

Fact Check: False, statistic not based on spending on treatment

The claim that Robert F Kennedy Jr and his department made that 90% of healthcare spending is for treating chronic disease is not true. The stat mentioned is based on all health spending on people with chronic diseases, not spending on treatment itself. 

The 90% figure comes from a 2017 report by the RAND Corp, a nonpartisan research organization. However, one of the researchers informed PolitiFact that the claim, as stated by Kennedy Jr and the 'Real Food' website, did not reflect their findings. 

WASHINGTON, DC - MAY 24: Independent presidential candidate Robert F. Kennedy Jr. speaks at the Libertarian National Convention on May 24, 2024 in Washington, DC. Kennedy is seeking qualification to be part of the first presidential debate currently scheduled on June 27 between Democratic presidential nominee President Joe Biden and Republican presidential nominee former President Donald Trump. (Photo by Kevin Dietsch/Getty Images)
Robert F Kennedy Jr speaks at the Libertarian National Convention on May 24, 2024, in Washington, DC (Kevin Dietsch/Getty Images)

The report calculated all health spending on people with chronic illnesses, including a majority of Americans. Moreover, it did not isolate the total spending on treating chronic illness itself.

As per the report, spending on 60% of people with one or more chronic conditions led to 90% of all spending. Meanwhile, the remaining 40% with no chronic illnesses required 10% of the spending. 

Robert F. Kennedy Jr., U.S. President Donald Trump's nominee for Secretary of Health and Human Services testifies during his Senate Finance Committee confirmation hearing at the Dirksen Senate Office Building on January 29, 2025 in Washington, DC. In addition to meeting with the Senate Finance Committee, Kennedy will also meet with the Senate Health, Education, Labor and Pensions Committee tomorrow. (Photo by Win McNamee/Getty Images)
Robert F Kennedy Jr testifies during his Senate Finance Committee confirmation hearing at the Dirksen Senate Office Building on January 29, 2025, in Washington, DC (Win McNamee/Getty Images)

Christine Buttorff, a Rand health policy researcher and study co-author, informed PolitiFact, "A person in a year spends or incurs health care costs for multiple related things. It could be their chronic disease, but it also could be something as simple as an acute illness where they had to go to the doctor or go to the emergency room for something totally unrelated to the chronic disease. So our estimates lump all of that together."

Buttorff added that the claim that 90% of US healthcare spending goes to treating chronic disease is 'not an accurate reflection of our report'.

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