Fact Check: Did Congress seek a probe into Elon Musk over Trump’s early election win prediction?

Posts claimed Joe Rogan said Elon Musk used a custom app to track votes and predicted Donald Trump’s win hours early
An X post claims Elon Musk knew Donald Trump won the 2024 election hours early, sparking calls for a Congress probe (Getty Images)
An X post claims Elon Musk knew Donald Trump won the 2024 election hours early, sparking calls for a Congress probe (Getty Images)

WASHINGTON, DC: An X post claims that some members of Congress are calling for an investigation into Elon Musk’s alleged early knowledge of Donald Trump’s 2024 presidential victory.

The post further alleges that Musk knew Trump had won four hours before the election was officially called.

The claim follows a wave of post-election rumors suggesting Musk used Starlink to anticipate the result, and the latest allegation about a congressional probe has quickly spread online. Let’s fact-check the claim.

Claim: Congress seeks probe into Musk over alleged early knowledge of Trump’s win



An X user, @politvidchannel, shared a post labeled “Breaking Exclusive,” claiming, "Congress has been asked to investigate how Elon Musk knew Trump won 4 hours before the 2024 election was called."

The thread further claimed that eight Democratic members of Congress are seeking a bipartisan investigation into Musk’s alleged “uncanny” ability to predict the election outcome in advance.



It also suggested, "The controversy ignited when podcaster Joe Rogan, during a widely viewed episode of 'The Joe Rogan Experience,' disclosed that Musk had developed a custom app on his phone capable of delivering real-time vote tallies with pinpoint accuracy."

Additional posts in the thread repeated these assertions, including a quoted statement attributed to Rogan describing Musk leaving an event after reportedly saying the outcome was already decided hours before major networks made their call.



Rogan added, "So as the results are coming in, four hours before they called it. Dana White told me Elon said 'I'm leaving. It's over. Donald won."

The thread also alleged that lawmakers are demanding access to Musk’s app code, X platform algorithms, and communications involving SpaceX, Tesla, and Trump’s team before the election.



The posts further claimed that lawmakers questioned Musk’s social media statements about the election, including a post in which he criticized Trump and suggested his influence on the election outcome.

Fact Check: No proof of investigation into Elon Musk’s alleged election prediction

Tesla, SpaceX and X CEO Elon Musk arrives to speak during an inauguration event at Capital One Arena on January 20, 2025 in Washington, DC. Donald Trump takes office for his second term as the 47th president of the United States. (Photo by Christopher Furlong/Getty Images)
Tesla, SpaceX and X CEO Elon Musk arrives to speak during an inauguration event at Capital One Arena on January (Donald Trump takes office for his second term as the 47th president of the United States (Christopher Furlong/Getty Images)

There are no official reports or congressional requests to investigate Elon Musk for allegedly knowing the 2024 election results early.

The claim appears to stem from online speculation that spread after podcaster Joe Rogan mentioned a story on his show, but neither Rogan nor Musk has provided any verified details about such a prediction.

Election officials in the US have confirmed that there was no evidence of fraud, manipulation, or unauthorized access to vote data in the 2024 election. There are also no known congressional hearings or government probes into this specific allegation.

Experts note that election forecasts are often based on publicly available data, polling trends, early vote counts, and statistical models, which can sometimes produce early or accurate predictions. Media outlets also make race calls using similar methods.

While Musk’s political comments and activity on X have drawn public attention, there is no verified evidence that he had access to non-public election results or any special system revealing the outcome in advance.

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