Fact Check: Is Iran planning to launch drone attacks on California?

FBI had warned local agencies about the possibility that Iran could attempt a surprise drone attack
Speculations about  Iranian drone attack on the United States' West Coast causes panic (AP Photo/Altaf Qadri)
Speculations about Iranian drone attack on the United States' West Coast causes panic (AP Photo/Altaf Qadri)

WASHINGTON, DC: As the tensions in the Middle East escalate, which has left Iran’s new Supreme Leader reportedly in a coma, a series of reports surfaced online suggesting that the Islamic Republic is planning drone strikes in cities in the United States, sparking panic and speculation. Let us analyze and fact-check the authenticity of the claim.

Claim: Iran may launch drone attacks on the USA's West Coast

(@itswpceo/X)
NBC Bay Area on March 11 reported that the FBI had warned local law enforcement agencies about the possibility that Iran could attempt a surprise drone attack (@itswpceo/X)

According to the rumors, Iran could retaliate by launching an attack inside the US, including drone strikes on its West Coast.

The claim has garnered considerable attention and panic, implying that the ongoing conflict could extend far beyond the Middle East.

The claim has been taken at face value as it largely stems from media coverage of a law-enforcement bulletin circulated to authorities in California.

NBC Bay Area on March 11 reported that the FBI had warned local law enforcement agencies about the possibility that Iran could attempt a “surprise drone attack” launched from a maritime vessel targeting locations on the US West Coast.

Fact Check: The claim is based on security alerts, not verified intelligence

Trace of an air defense missile interception during an Iranian attack is seen over Jerusalem's Old City, Sunday, March 1, 2026. (AP Photo/Mahmoud Illean)
Trace of an air defense missile interception during an Iranian attack is seen over Jerusalem's Old City, Sunday, March 1, 2026. (AP Photo/Mahmoud Illean)

However, there is no conclusive evidence to back these claims that  Iran intends to strike the United States. A closer examination of these reports suggests that they are based on precautionary security alerts by the FBI rather than verified intelligence.

Hence, the intelligence behind reports remains largely unconfirmed and speculative. 

Moreover, there is also no evidence that Tehran has developed or announced plans to carry out such operations.

Iran’s focus so far has been against the US and Israeli military bases in the Gulf region, as part of their retaliation. 

Military analysts note that this approach reflects Iran’s longstanding strategy of regional asymmetric deterrence, which centers on targeting US forces and allies in the Middle East rather than projecting military operations across the Atlantic or Pacific.

Speculations over Mojtaba Khamenei's health

A man holds a poster of Ayatollah Mojtaba Khamenei, who succeeds his late father Ayatollah Ali Khamenei as the supreme leader, during a rally to support him in Tehran, Iran, Monday, March 9, 2026. (AP Photo/Vahid Salemi)
A man holds a poster of Ayatollah Mojtaba Khamenei, who succeeds his late father Ayatollah Ali Khamenei as the supreme leader, during a rally to support him in Tehran, Iran, Monday, March 9, 2026. (AP Photo/Vahid Salemi)

The speculations surfaced after reports circulating in Western media claimed that Iran’s new Supreme Leader, Mojtaba Khamenei, was critically injured in an airstrike and possibly in a coma shortly before his first official address was broadcast.

The claims, initially reported by a British tabloid citing unnamed sources in Tehran, alleged that the leader had suffered severe injuries, including the loss of a leg.

Iranian state media later released an audio message attributed to Khamenei, in which he addressed the ongoing conflict with the United States and Israel and warned of retaliation.

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