James Carville outlines 3 reasons why he's 'certain' Kamala Harris will win 2024 presidential election
WASHINGTON, DC: James Carville is predicting a win for Vice President Kamala Harris over former president Donald Trump in the upcoming election.
The veteran strategist highlighted three key reasons for his confidence in Harris’ success in an essay published Wednesday, October 23 in The New York Times.
GOP’s losing streak under Donald Trump
James Carville’s primary argument is rooted in the GOP’s track record since Donald Trump's rise to power.
He pointed to the Republican Party’s series of electoral defeats, beginning in 2018 when Democrats secured the largest House majority in a midterm election since Watergate.
He also noted Trump’s 2020 loss to Joe Biden and the Republicans’ underperformance in the 2022 midterms, which Carville attributed to voter backlash following the Supreme Court’s decision in Dobbs v Jackson Women’s Health Organization.
"The biggest reason Mr Trump will lose is that the whole Republican Party has been on a losing streak since Mr Trump took it over," wrote Carville.
He argued that the 78-year-old politician has not learned from his previous defeats nor built the broad coalition needed to win in 2024.
Kamala Harris’ fundraising edge and broad coalition
James Carville, who was the mastermind behind Bill Clinton’s 1992 presidential victory, pointed to Kamala Harris' significant fundraising advantage as a major factor in her potential victory.
He noted that Harris’ campaign raised nearly $360 million in September alone and has amassed more than $1 billion since she entered the race in July after President Biden stepped aside.
"All this cash not only effectively offsets the flow of money funneling in for Mr Trump from some tech billionaires, but it has also given Ms Harris the resources she needs to persuade swing voters with ads and to organize on the ground," wrote Carville.
He also highlighted Harris’ diverse coalition, which includes progressive leaders like Rep Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez (D-NY) to former GOP representatives Liz Cheney (Wyo) and Adam Kinzinger (Ill).
The political consultant argued that this coalition, combined with a record voter turnout, could tip the scales in Harris’ favor in the election.
"This is shaping out to be a record-turnout election — and if the bigger coalition turns out with equal enthusiasm, it will be lights out for Mr Trump," Carville stated.
"Harris will be elected the next president of the United States. Of this, I am certain," he shared.
James Carville believes voters won't make 'same mistake twice' of electing Donald Trump
In his final point, James Carville expressed his belief that the US is not as politically divided as it is often portrayed and that the American people will reject Donald Trump once again as he said, "A vast majority of Americans are rational, reasonable people of good will."
"I refuse to believe that the same country that has time and again overcome its mistakes to bend its future toward justice will make the same mistake twice," he wrote.
"America overcame Mr. Trump in 2020. I know that we know we are better than this," Carville concluded, according to The Hill.
While Carville is confident in his prediction, he remains cautious, acknowledging the unpredictable nature of elections.
During an appearance on CNN on Monday, October 21, he reiterated his belief that Harris will win but added, "I could be wrong."
