JD Vance, Kamala Harris lead new 2028 poll but rival surveys show race remains wide open

A McLaughlin & Associates survey found Kamala Harris leading Democratic voters with 26% support, while JD Vance led Republicans with 35% support
A McLaughlin & Associates poll gives Kamala Harris and JD Vance clear leads within their parties, but an AtlasIntel survey identifies different frontrunners (Jim Vondruska, Chip Somodevilla/Getty Images)
A McLaughlin & Associates poll gives Kamala Harris and JD Vance clear leads within their parties, but an AtlasIntel survey identifies different frontrunners (Jim Vondruska, Chip Somodevilla/Getty Images)

WASHINGTON, DC: Vice President JD Vance and former Vice President Kamala Harris lead a new 2028 presidential preference poll, but competing surveys suggest neither party has settled on a clear favorite for the next White House race.

The latest numbers immediately add to an already mixed picture. While the McLaughlin & Associates survey shows both candidates leading their respective fields, other recent polls have produced different frontrunners, highlighting how fluid the contest remains years before the next presidential election.

McLaughlin poll puts JD Vance and Kamala Harris ahead

A McLaughlin & Associates survey, released June 25, found Harris leading Democratic voters with 26% support. California Governor Gavin Newsom followed at 16%, while New York Rep Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez placed third with 9%. 

LAS VEGAS, NEVADA - MAY 07: Former Vice President Kamala Harris speaks during a fireside chat at MEET Las Vegas on May 07, 2026 in Las Vegas, Nevada. Harris addressed the future impact of elections in the political landscape. (Photo by Ian Maule/Getty Images)
Former Vice President Kamala Harris speaks during a fireside chat at MEET Las Vegas on May 7, 2026, in Las Vegas, Nevada (Getty Images)

Among Republicans, Vance opened a wider advantage, earning 35% support compared with 15% for Secretary of State Marco Rubio.

The poll surveyed 464 likely voters between June 17 and June 23. 

WASHINGTON, DC - OCTOBER 07: U.S. Vice President JD Vance (C) and U.S. Secretary of State Marco Rubio look on during a meeting between U.S. President Donald Trump and Canadian Prime Minister Mark Carney in the Oval Office of the White House on October 07, 2025 in Washington, DC. Carney visited the White House earlier in the year after he was elected prime minister. Carney and Trump will meet in the Oval Office and later have a bilateral lunch where they are expected to discuss a range of topics including U.S. tariffs. (Photo by Anna Moneymaker/Getty Images)
Vice President JD Vance and Secretary of State Marco Rubio look on during a meeting between President Donald Trump and Canadian Prime Minister Mark Carney in the Oval Office of the White House on October 7, 2025, in Washington, DC (Anna Moneymaker/Getty Images)

President Donald Trump has so far declined to back a preferred successor, even as he praised both Vance and Rubio during a May 11 White House event.

"I do believe that's a dream team, but these are minor details. That does not mean you have my endorsement under any circumstances," he said. "I think it sounds like presidential candidate and vice presidential candidate."

Rival polls tell a different story

The McLaughlin findings differ sharply from other recent polling, particularly on the Democratic side.

As per USA Today, an AtlasIntel survey conducted May 4 through May 7 showed Ocasio-Cortez leading Democratic contenders with 26% support. Former Transportation Secretary Pete Buttigieg ranked behind her, followed by Newsom, while Harris finished fourth with approximately half of Ocasio-Cortez's support. 

Rep. Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez (D-NY) listens during a mark up meeting with the House Committee on Energy and Commerce committee on Capitol Hill on May 13, 2025 in Washington, DC. The committee met to discuss legislative recommendations for budget reconciliation. The committee room was surrounded by protesters fearing cuts or increased costs to medicaid. (Photo by Anna Moneymaker/Getty Images)
Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez listens during a markup meeting with the House Committee on Energy and Commerce Committee on Capitol Hill on May 13, 2025, in Washington, DC (Anna Moneymaker/Getty Images)

The Republican results also looked different. Rubio led with about 45% of GOP primary voters, while Vance and Florida Governor Ron DeSantis trailed behind.

An Emerson College poll released later in May offered yet another snapshot of the race.

Buttigieg led Democratic hopefuls with 18%, ahead of Newsom and Ocasio-Cortez. Harris again placed fourth, tying with Pennsylvania Governor Josh Shapiro.

On the Republican side, however, Vance returned to the top, posting 36% support, just one point ahead of Rubio.

Taken together, the three polls paint a far less settled picture than any single survey suggests. 

With different candidates leading across the surveys and support shifting from poll to poll, the early 2028 presidential field remains open despite the latest McLaughlin results placing Harris and Vance at the front of their respective parties.

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