Poll shows just 23% trust 2026 vote as Trump pushes voting takeover

Most Americans doubt the integrity of the 2026 midterms, with skepticism fueled by Trump’s push for a federal role in state elections
Yahoo/YouGov poll revealed low confidence in the 2026 midterms as Trump floated federal voting plans (Chip Somodevilla/Getty Images)
Yahoo/YouGov poll revealed low confidence in the 2026 midterms as Trump floated federal voting plans (Chip Somodevilla/Getty Images)

WASHINGTON, DC: As the 2026 midterm elections draw closer, American voters appear increasingly uneasy about the fairness of November’s vote. A new Yahoo/YouGov poll suggests confidence in the electoral process is alarmingly low.

Conducted between February 9 and 12 among 1,704 adults, the survey found that only 23% of respondents are confident the midterms will not be “rigged” in favor of certain candidates. This comes amid continued public debate over proposals by President Donald Trump to take a more direct role in managing elections.

ROME, GEORGIA - FEBRUARY 19: U.S. President Donald Trump speaks at the Coosa Steel Corporation on February 19, 2026 in Rome, Georgia. Trump delivered remarks on the economy and affordability as the state has started voting to replace the seat vacated by former Rep. Marjorie Taylor Greene. (Photo by Chip Somodevilla/Getty Images)
Trump spoke at the Coosa Steel Corporation in Rome, Georgia, highlighting election concerns on February 19, 2026 (Getty Images)

Public trust in elections hits historic lows

The survey underscores the extent of voter anxiety. While 33% of Americans believe the midterms will be rigged, another 44% remain unsure. That leaves 77% of respondents either doubtful or uncertain about the integrity of the elections, highlighting widespread skepticism that crosses party lines.

COLUMBUS, OH - APRIL 26: Voters use an optional paper ballot voting booth as they cast their ballots
Only 23% trusted the 2026 midterms wouldn’t be rigged as Trump’s federal voting plan faced pushback (Getty Images)

Experts say the findings reflect the persistence of election-related fears that have grown in the years following 2020. Analysts note that Trump’s rhetoric around “nationalizing” elections has amplified these concerns, particularly among Republican voters who now express higher confidence than Democrats that votes will be counted fairly.

Trump’s federal voting push meets strong opposition

The poll also asked respondents about Trump’s suggestion that Republicans should take over election management in at least 15 states to “nationalize” the midterms. A majority, 59%, opposed the idea, while only 19% expressed support.

Trump first discussed the plan during a February 2 interview with Dan Bongino, stating, “The Republicans should say, ‘We want to take over.’ We should take over the voting in at least many—15 places.” He later emphasized federal involvement at an Oval Office event, even though state legislatures hold primary authority over election procedures.

JOINT BASE ANDREWS, MARYLAND - FEBRUARY 19: U.S. President Donald Trump talks to reporters on board Air Force One on February 19, 2026 at Joint Base Andrews, Maryland. Trump is flying to Georgia to visit a steel company and speak on the economy. (Photo by Chip Somodevilla/Getty Images)
Trump addressed reporters on Air Force One at Joint Base Andrews, Maryland, on February 19, 2026 (Getty Images)

Partisan confidence in voting has shifted

The Yahoo/YouGov poll also highlights sharp changes in partisan perceptions. In December 2021, Democrats (42%) were more confident than Republicans (14%) in a fair election. Today, Republicans (37%) show greater confidence than Democrats (24%).

Concern about US democracy mirrors this divide: 66% of Democrats report being very worried about the country’s democratic future, compared to just 19% of Republicans. Among those who doubt the midterms will be fair or remain unsure, more point to Republicans (44%) than Democrats (33%) as the party most likely to try influencing the vote.

The survey paints a sobering picture of voter confidence heading into the 2026 midterms, reflecting both deep partisan divides and the impact of high-profile political proposals on public trust.

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