Trump predicts massive repayment burden if tariffs are struck down by Supreme Court
WASHINGTON, DC: President Donald Trump warned on Monday, January 12, that the US economy could face severe consequences if the Supreme Court struck down the tariffs he had imposed on a wide range of imports.
In a post on Truth Social, Trump wrote that the country would be “SCREWED!” if the high court ruled against what he described as a “National Security bonanza.”
The warning came as the Supreme Court prepared to issue a decision in a case challenging the president’s authority to impose sweeping import taxes without congressional approval, a central pillar of Trump’s trade agenda.
High court ruling expected very soon
Donald J. Trump Truth Social Post 01:11 PM EST 01.12.26
— Commentary Donald J. Trump Posts From Truth Social (@TrumpDailyPosts) January 12, 2026
The actual numbers that we would have to pay back if, for any reason, the Supreme Court were to rule against the United States of America on Tariffs, would be many Hundreds of Billions of Dollars, and that doesn’t include…
The case is expected to be resolved in the coming days, with a ruling possible as early as Wednesday. At issue is whether Trump exceeded his authority by invoking national security laws to levy broad tariffs on foreign goods.
In his post, Trump said that an adverse ruling would expose the federal government to massive repayment obligations.
“The actual numbers that we would have to pay back if, for any reason, the Supreme Court were to rule against the United States of America on Tariffs, would be many Hundreds of Billions of Dollars,” he wrote.
Payback costs could reach trillions
Trump argued that the financial exposure would extend beyond refunded duties. He said companies and foreign governments have invested heavily in new plants and supply chains designed to avoid the tariffs.
“When these Investments are added, we are talking about Trillions of Dollars!” Trump wrote. “It would be a complete mess, and almost impossible for our Country to pay.”
He rejected the idea that any refund process would be straightforward, saying it would take years to determine “who, when, and where, to pay.”
Tariffs credited for huge economic growth
The president has repeatedly credited tariffs for the recent economic performance. After the Commerce Department reported last month that the economy grew at an annualized rate of 4.3% between July and September, Trump attributed the gains to his trade policies.
“The TARIFFS are responsible for the GREAT USA Economic Numbers JUST ANNOUNCED…AND THEY WILL ONLY GET BETTER!” he wrote at the time.
He also cited “NO INFLATION” and “GREAT NATIONAL SECURITY,” ending his message with, “Pray for the US Supreme Court!!!”
Chief Justice John Roberts labels tariffs as taxes
The legal outlook remains uncertain. During oral arguments in November, Chief Justice John Roberts referred to the tariffs as “taxes on Americans,” a characterization that raised concerns among administration allies.
If the court agrees that the measures function as domestic taxes requiring congressional authorization, it could invalidate the legal framework Trump used to impose them.
Such a ruling would unwind the tariff regime and trigger the financial and policy consequences the president warned about in his post.