$100B later, Americans are still paying for Trump's Iran war and the bill is climbing

US households have paid more than $760 extra for fuel since the Iran war began, according to a new research estimate
Record diesel prices are raising concerns that the cost of transporting food, goods and other essentials could climb further (George Frey/Getty Images)
Record diesel prices are raising concerns that the cost of transporting food, goods and other essentials could climb further (George Frey/Getty Images)

WASHINGTON, DC: Americans have now paid an estimated $100 billion in extra gasoline and diesel costs since the war in Iran began on February 28, according to a real-time tracker called 'Iran War Energy Cost Tracker' developed by researchers at Brown University.

The average US household has spent more than $760 extra on fuel during the conflict, according to the estimate reported on Monday, September 7.

The cost is rising as fuel prices remain elevated, with diesel reaching a new national record.



The figures put a dollar amount on a cost President Donald Trump has previously acknowledged.

Speaking about rising gas prices, Trump said Americans might have to pay “a tiny little bit more” to prevent Iran from obtaining a nuclear weapon.

But six months into the conflict, the additional cost is now being felt by households across the country.

Households have paid over $760

Brown University's 'Iran War Energy Cost Tracker' measures the additional amount Americans have paid for gasoline and diesel compared with researchers' estimates of what prices would have been without the conflict.

According to the latest estimate, the average household has paid more than $760 in additional fuel costs since the war began.

BRUSSELS, BELGIUM - NOVEMBER 15: Tanker trucks are waiting near the PJSC Lukoil Oil Company tank storage of Neder-Over-Heembeek are seen on November 15, 2025 in Brussels, Belgium. As of November 2025, Lukoil is reeling under severe U.S. and Western sanctions, which have forced the company to divest international assets and halt operations at major projects, including Iraq’s West Qurna-2 oil field. Facing a November 21 deadline to wind down foreign operations, Lukoil struggles to find buyers—even among major partners like India and China—and recently saw a $22 billion asset sale to Gunvor collapse. Sanctions from the U.S. and UK have also disrupted its activities in Finland, Bulgaria, and other key regions. The company is now urgently seeking buyers for its overseas assets, including European refineries and stakes in oilfields across Kazakhstan, Iraq, Ghana, and Nigeria, as pressure mounts from governments and potential investors like Carlyle. (Photo by Thierry Monasse/Getty Images)
Brown University estimates that the average US household has spent more than $760 extra on fuel since late February (Thierry Monasse/Getty Images)

Texas has carried the largest total burden, with consumers paying about $11 billion in extra gasoline and diesel costs.

California follows at roughly $8 billion, while Florida consumers have paid around $5 billion more, according to the tracker.

The estimate is based on fuel prices, consumption data, and household figures and is updated as prices change.

Brown researchers launched the tracker in April to measure how the conflict's energy impact was reaching American consumers directly at gas stations and through diesel costs.

Diesel prices hit record highs

Diesel has become a growing concern because of its role across the US economy.

The national average reached about $5.90 a gallon on Monday, according to AAA data reported by multiple outlets, marking a new record. 

TEESSIDE, ENGLAND - MARCH 09: The ‘Tavistock Square’ crude oil tanker, assisted by tugs, prepares to leave the ConocoPhillips oil terminal after loading on March 09, 2026 in Teesside, England. Global oil prices have risen to their highest levels since 2022 following an escalation of the US-Israel war with Iran. Brent crude, the international benchmark, surged past the $100 psychological threshold. Liquid Natural Gas (LNG) prices have also seen a 50% increase since the US and Israel attacked Iran. The war has  effectively closed the Strait of Hormuz  which sees over a fifth of the global oil and LNG trade pass through narrow gulf. (Photo by Ian Forsyth/Getty Images)
Record diesel prices are increasing costs for trucking, farming, and other industries that rely heavily on fuel (Ian Forsyth/Getty Images)

The price was around 60% higher than a year earlier.

Diesel powers the trucks that move food and consumer goods, as well as equipment used in farming, construction and other industries.

Higher prices can increase transportation and operating costs for businesses, which may eventually be reflected in the prices consumers pay.

Gasoline prices have also remained above $4 a gallon nationally, with the Labor Day average reaching a record for the holiday. 

The price surge has been linked to disruptions affecting oil and fuel supplies during the Iran conflict and problems involving refineries.

What Americans could pay next

The future cost will depend heavily on how long disruptions to energy supplies continue and whether fuel markets stabilize.

White House Press Secretary Karoline Leavitt speaks during a press briefing in the Brady Press Briefing Room at the White House on July 31, 2025 in Washington, DC. Leavitt spoke to reporters about the day's news topics. (Photo by Anna Moneymaker/Getty Images)
Higher transportation costs could eventually add pressure to grocery, travel, and other everyday household expenses (Anna Moneymaker/Getty Images)

Energy Secretary Chris Wright said on Sunday that gasoline futures suggested that prices could move lower in the coming months, while acknowledging that Americans are currently paying more at the pump.

For families, however, the impact goes beyond filling a car. 

Rising diesel costs could affect freight, groceries, travel, and other everyday expenses if businesses face higher transportation bills.

With the midterm elections less than two months away, fuel prices are also becoming part of the wider debate over affordability and how much longer Americans may be asked to absorb the cost of the Iran conflict.

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