Democrat Renee Hardman wins Iowa Senate race, halting GOP bid for supermajority control
DES MOINES, IOWA: Democrat Renee Hardman won a decisive victory in a special election on Tuesday, December 30, capturing a seat in the Iowa state Senate and preventing Republicans from regaining a legislative supermajority.
Hardman, a West Des Moines City Council member and CEO of Lutheran Services of Iowa, defeated Republican nominee Lucas Loftin by a wide margin. With 99 percent of ballots counted, Hardman secured roughly 71.5 percent of the vote to Loftin’s 28.5 percent.
History made in Des Moines
DEMS WIN BIG IN IOWA: Democrat Renee Hardman wins IA State Senate SD-16 with 71.5%, a 27-point Dem overperformance from 2024. Harris won the district by 16. Hardman's victory blocks a GOP supermajority and makes history as the first Black woman elected to the Iowa Senate. pic.twitter.com/PbV6zdUgJc
— MeidasTouch (@MeidasTouch) December 31, 2025
Renee Hardman’s win marks a historic first for the state, making her the first Black woman elected to Iowa’s 50-member Senate.
"I want to recognize that while my name was the one on the ballot, this race was never just about me," Hardman told supporters in West Des Moines following her victory.
The District 16 seat, which covers suburban areas of Des Moines, became vacant after Democratic state Sen Claire Celsi died on October 6.
GOP supermajority denied
The outcome carried significant implications for the balance of power in the Iowa Senate.
A Republican win would have restored the party’s two-thirds supermajority, allowing it to confirm Governor Kim Reynolds’ appointees to state agencies and commissions without Democratic support.
With Hardman’s election, Democrats now hold 17 seats compared to Republicans’ 33.
While the GOP maintains control of the chamber, it falls one seat short of the supermajority threshold and will need at least one Democratic vote to advance gubernatorial confirmations.
A year of Democratic gains
Hardman’s victory adds to a series of Democratic wins in Iowa special elections throughout 2025.
Earlier in the year, Democrat Mike Zimmer flipped a Senate district that had backed President Donald Trump, while Catelin Drey scored an upset victory in a Republican-leaning district in northwestern Iowa in August.
"With the last special election of the year now decided, one thing is clear: 2025 was the year of Democratic victories and overperformance," Democratic National Committee chair Ken Martin said.
Lucas Loftin concedes in 'tough district'
Statement from Iowa GOP Chairman Kaufmann:
— Iowa GOP (@IowaGOP) December 31, 2025
“I want to personally thank Lucas Loftin and the hardworking volunteers who knocked doors in the frigid cold over the holidays. In a very tough district, Lucas and his family poured their hearts and souls into this race, and Iowa… pic.twitter.com/Os6nnr42vw
Loftin, a former tree trimmer who later worked as a data manager, conceded the race and offered well wishes to Hardman.
Iowa GOP Chairman Jeff Kaufmann acknowledged the uphill battle Republicans faced, noting that registered Democrats outnumbered Republicans in the district by roughly 3,300 voters.
"Although we fell short this time, the Republican Party of Iowa remains laser-focused on expanding our majorities and keeping Iowa ruby-red," Kaufmann said.