Fact Check: Do polls suggest Michelle Obama would win 2028 presidential election if she ran?

The claim went viral after Newsmax journalist David J Harris Jr posted it on his X account
The claim regarding Michelle Obama spread across social media platforms such as X, Facebook, and Threads, garnering millions of views and triggering mixed reactions (Billboard Music Awards 2021 via Getty Images)
The claim regarding Michelle Obama spread across social media platforms such as X, Facebook, and Threads, garnering millions of views and triggering mixed reactions (Billboard Music Awards 2021 via Getty Images)

WASHINGTON, DC: A claim has been going viral on social media platforms that former first lady Michelle Obama would win the 2028 presidential election if she ran, triggering mixed reactions from mockery to criticism. The claim has also sparked speculations among many who are calling for fact checks. Let us analyze and fact-check it.

Claim: New polls suggest Michelle Obama would win 2028 presidential election if she ran

(@DavidJHarrisJr/X)
A viral post with the claim regarding Michelle Obama (@DavidJHarrisJr/X)

The claim went viral after Newsmax journalist David J Harris Jr posted on his X (formerly Twitter) account, writing, “BREAKING: New polls suggest Michelle Obama would WIN the 2028 presidential election if she ran.”

The claim has also spread on other social media platforms such as Facebook and Threads, garnering millions of views and triggering mixed reactions. 

Many commenting under the post are mocking the ‘Becoming’ writer, while a few others expressed optimism. Some even remained sceptical and questioned the claim’s authenticity.

Fact Check: No credible poll says Michelle Obama would win the presidential race

AUSTIN, TEXAS - MARCH 13: Michelle Obama speaks onstage during a recording of the
Michelle Obama speaks onstage during a recording of the 'IMO with Michelle Obama & Craig Robinson' podcast during the 2025 SXSW Conference and Festival at Austin Convention Center on March 13, 2025, in Austin, Texas (Julia Beverly/WireImage)

However, Michelle Obama has not yet announced whether she is running for the 2028 presidential race. J Harris also did not mention what the poll says or provide any links to support the claim.

A search on Google for the claim yielded no credible reports or polls that say Michelle would win the next presidential election if she ran.

A fact check by Grok stated, “No recent credible polls show Michelle Obama winning the 2028 election if she ran. She has repeatedly ruled out running (as recently as 2025), and current betting markets like Polymarket give her under 2% odds for the Democratic nomination or presidency."

"Older hypotheticals from the 2024 cycle don't reflect today's landscape. The 'breaking' graphic appears to be hype without data,'" it added. 

A similar claim surfaced last month, saying Michelle was entering the 2028 presidential race, but it was quickly debunked.

Michelle Obama rules out presidential run

NEW YORK, NEW YORK - AUGUST 28: Former President of the United States Barak Obama and former First Lady Michelle Obama attend opening night on day one of the 2023 US Open at Arthur Ashe Stadium at the USTA Billie Jean King National Tennis Center on August 28, 2023 in the Flushing neighborhood of the Queens borough of New York City. (Photo by Jean Catuffe/GC Images)
Former President Barack Obama and former first lady Michelle Obama attend opening night on day one of the 2023 US Open at Arthur Ashe Stadium at the USTA Billie Jean King National Tennis Center on August 28, 2023, in the Flushing neighborhood of the Queens borough of New York City (Jean Catuffe/GC Images)

In November last year, Michelle Obama made a major statement regarding the next presidential race, stating that the US is not currently ready for a female president and ruled out any possibility of running for office. 

She referred to the failed presidential bids of former Vice President Kamala Harris and former Secretary of State Hillary Clinton and said, “As we saw in the last election, sadly, we’re not ready. That’s why I’m saying, ‘Don’t even look at me about running because you’re all lying.'” 

In 2016, while still serving as first lady, she said, “I will not run for president. No, nope, not going to do it.”

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