Trump predicts ‘record-setting’ tariff surge as CBO slashes fiscal projections

Donald Trump touted record tariff growth, arguing that inventory stockpiling masked true gains, while the CBO slashed deficit savings by $1 trillion
PUBLISHED NOV 24, 2025
President Donald Trump, in a Truth Social post on Sunday, November 23, claimed that the anticipated payments from tariffs would put the nation on a new and unprecedented course (Getty Images)
President Donald Trump, in a Truth Social post on Sunday, November 23, claimed that the anticipated payments from tariffs would put the nation on a new and unprecedented course (Getty Images)

WASHINGTON, DC: President Donald Trump said that the US is on the brink of a “record-setting” surge in tariff revenue, arguing that the true impact of his trade agenda has not yet been reflected in official data.

In a lengthy post on Truth Social late Sunday night, November 23, the president claimed that global buyers had initially “stocked up” on goods to avoid paying higher duties but said that strategy was now fading.

WASHINGTON, DC - MAY 30: U.S. President Donald Trump, joined by Tesla CEO Elon Musk, speaks to reporters in the Oval Office of the White House on May 30, 2025 in Washington, DC. Musk, who served as an adviser to Trump and led the Department of Government Efficiency, announced he would leave the Trump administration to refocus on his businesses. (Photo by Kevin Dietsch/Getty Images)
President Donald Trump speaks to reporters in the Oval Office of the White House on May 30, 2025, in Washington, DC (Kevin Dietsch/Getty Images)

Trump says tariff benefits have yet to fully register

“Despite the massive amount of money being made by the United States of America, hundreds of billions of dollars, as a direct result of tariffs being charged to other countries, the full benefit of the tariffs has not yet been calculated,” President Trump wrote.

According to Trump, importers bought unusually large inventories to dodge tariffs in the short term. “Many of the buyers of goods and products, in order to avoid paying the tariffs in the short term, ‘stock up’ by purchasing far more inventory than they can use,” he said.



But that behavior, he insisted, is now reversing. “That heavy inventory purchase is now, however, wearing thin, and soon tariffs will be paid on everything they apply to, without avoidance,” Trump said.

The president added that he expects the amounts payable to the US government to “skyrocket, over and above the already historic levels of dollars received.”

WASHINGTON, DC - SEPTEMBER 05: U.S. President Donald Trump signs executive orders during a press availability in the Oval Office of the White House on September 05, 2025 in Washington, DC. President Trump signed executive orders which included the renaming of the Department of Defense to the Department of War. (Photo by Kevin Dietsch/Getty Images)
President Donald Trump signs executive orders during a press availability in the Oval Office of the White House on September 05, 2025, in Washington, DC (Kevin Dietsch/Getty Images)

Trump claims anticipated payments would be ‘record setting’

The president said that the anticipated payments would be “record setting, and put our nation on a new and unprecedented course.”

Trump also cast the tariff policy as central to US power and national security. “We are already the ‘hottest’ country anywhere in the world, but this tariff power will bring America national security and wealth the likes of which has never been seen before,” he wrote.

U.S. President Donald Trump takes a question from a reporter in the Roosevelt Room of the White House on March 3, 2025 in Washington, DC. Trump announced that Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Company, one of the largest manufacturers of semiconductor chips, plans to invest $100 billion in new manufacturing facilities in the United States. (Photo by Andrew Harnik/Getty Images)
President Donald Trump takes a question from a reporter in the Roosevelt Room of the White House on March 3, 2025, in Washington, DC (Andrew Harnik/Getty Images)

He accused critics of aligning with adversarial interests. “Those opposing us are serving hostile foreign interests that are not aligned with the success, safety and prosperity of the USA. They couldn’t care less about us,” he said.

The president added that he was awaiting a forthcoming Supreme Court ruling on the policy. “I look so much forward to the United States Supreme Court’s decision on this urgent and time-sensitive matter so that we can continue, in an uninterrupted manner, to make America great again,” he wrote.

U.S. President Donald Trump, accompanied by U.S. Interior Secretary Doug Burgum (L), U.S. Defense Secretary Pete Hegseth (2nd-L) and U.S. Attorney General Pam Bondi (R), speaks during a news conference in the James S. Brady Press Briefing Room of the White House August 11, 2025 in Washington, DC. Trump announced he will use his authority to place the DC Metropolitan Police Department under federal control to assist in crime prevention in the nation's capital, and that the National Guard will be deployed to DC. (Photo by Andrew Harnik/Getty Images)
President Donald Trump, accompanied by Interior Secretary Doug Burgum, Defense Secretary Pete Hegseth and Attorney General Pam Bondi, speaks during a news conference in the James S Brady Press Briefing Room of the White House, August 11, 2025, in Washington, DC (Andrew Harnik/Getty Images)

Trump claims that his tariff push will deliver economic gains

Trump’s remarks came just days after the Congressional Budget Office sharply revised its estimate of the long-term deficit reduction expected from the administration’s tariff increases.

The CBO stripped roughly $1 trillion from earlier projections and now expects higher customs duties to reduce federal deficits by about $2.5 trillion between 2025 and 2035.

WASHINGTON, DC - APRIL 17: U.S. President Donald Trump speaks to reporters after signing a proclamation in the Oval Office at the White House on April 17, 2025 in Washington, DC. The proclamation expands fishing rights in the Pacific Islands to an area he described as three times the size of California. (Photo by Win McNamee/Getty Images)
President Donald Trump speaks to reporters after signing a proclamation in the Oval Office at the White House on April 17, 2025, in Washington, DC (Win McNamee/Getty Images)

Another $500 billion in savings is anticipated through lower interest payments triggered by those smaller deficits. Deficit reduction had been promoted as a core rationale for Trump’s tariff strategy.

Despite the downgrade, Trump maintained that his tariff push would ultimately deliver economic and security gains “the likes of which has never been seen before,” and insisted that critics were undermining US interests.

He reiterated that the administration is counting on the Supreme Court to allow the tariff plan to proceed “in an uninterrupted manner.”

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