6 takeaways from Donald Trump's huge win at the Iowa caucus and what's next

In Iowa, Donald Trump emerged as the top candidate of GOP caucusgoers, managing to secure over 51% votes
PUBLISHED JAN 16, 2024
Former President Donald Trump's resounding triumph in the Iowa caucuses reaffirmed his iron grip over the Republican Party (Getty Images)
Former President Donald Trump's resounding triumph in the Iowa caucuses reaffirmed his iron grip over the Republican Party (Getty Images)

Donald Trump's Iowa win cements his position as the Republican Party's leading figure

PICKENS, SOUTH CAROLINA - JULY 1: Former U.S. President Donald Trump gestures to the crowd at a campaign event on July 1, 2023, in Pickens, South Carolina. The former president faces a growing list of Republican primary challengers. (Photo by Sean Rayford/Getty Images)
Donald Trump managed to secure a lead as GOP primaries kicked off in Iowa (Sean Rayford/Getty Images)

In a pivotal moment for the Republican Party, Donald Trump achieved a landslide triumph in the Iowa caucuses, forecasting over 51% support from the voters. His victory, with a margin approaching 30%, demonstrated his formidable influence within the GOP base. The former president's carefully orchestrated campaign, marked by minimal appearances and a focus on unconventional strategies, has not only solidified his dominance but has also set the stage for a rather dramatic journey toward the Republican nomination. So, let's delve into the intricacies of Trump's Iowa victory, examining six strategic implications ahead of the New Hampshire primaries on January 23.

Donald Trump's dominance as a de facto incumbent

CHARLOTTE, NC - MARCH 2: U.S. President Donald Trump speaks to supporters during a rally on March 2,
Donald Trump triumphed in the January 15 Iowa caucuses (Brian Blanco/Getty Images)

Trump's resounding victory in the Iowa caucuses speaks volumes about his influence. In a campaign strategy reminiscent of an incumbent president, the ex-POTUS displayed confidence and a swift pivot toward the general election, with minimal appearances in the state. Trump's avoidance of traditional campaign activities, such as limited rallies and spurning debates, left political observers intrigued. According to AP Vote Cast, about 9 in 10 voters expressed a desire for upheaval or substantial change in government operations, showcasing the resonance of his approach.

Twists and turns lie ahead for Donald Trump even after Iowa win

U.S. President Donald Trump speaks at a rally at Southern New Hampshire University Arena on February 10, 2020 in Manchester, New Hampshire. New Hampshire holds its first-in-the-nation primary tomorrow.
Donald Trump towered over Ron DeSantis and Nikki Haley in Iowa (Getty Images)

As Trump shifts focus to New Hampshire, a state known for delivering upsets, the Republican nomination path is still arguably uncertain. The looming Supreme Court hearing on February 8, challenging a constitutional clause regarding those who "engaged in insurrection," adds a bit of uncertainty to his campaign. On the other hand, with Ron DeSantis securing 21% and Nikki Haley 19% in Iowa, Trump's margin of victory, approaching 30%, sets a formidable standard for his rivals.

Immigration took center stage for Iowa voters

LA JOYA, TEXAS - NOVEMBER 17: Migrants sit against a fence while waiting to board a border patrol bu
Iowa caucusgoers resonated with Donald Trump's views about illegal migrants (Brandon Bell/Getty Images)

Economic concerns took a back seat in Iowa, with immigration emerging as the predominant issue for caucusgoers, as they resonated strongly with Trump's emphasis on immigration policies. About 4 in 10 caucusgoers prioritized immigration over the economy, according to AP VoteCast. Interestingly, amid Trump's legal challenges, 6 in 10 participants expressed distrust in the nation's legal system, reflecting a segment of the electorate eager to challenge democratic institutions.

Donald Trump's reaffirmed position as the GOP's leading figure

WASHINGTON, DC - NOVEMBER 26: President Donald Trump speaks in the Diplomatic Room of the White Hous
Donald Trump's MAGA movement continues to resonate among Americans (Erin Schaff - Pool/Getty Images) 

In the Iowa caucuses, Trump secured the most votes in all but one county. The appeal of the "Make America Great Again" (MAGA) movement was evident, drawing support across diverse demographics. About half of Republican caucusgoers identified with Trump's MAGA movement, according to a CBS News survey. This reaffirmed the impact of his political brand, cementing his position as the GOP's leading figure.

Donald Trump's Iowa victory is a remarkable turnaround amid legal troubles

NEW YORK, NEW YORK - APRIL 04: Flanked by attorneys, former U.S. President Donald Trump appears in the courtroom for his arraignment proceeding at Manhattan Criminal Court on April 4, 2023, in New York City. (Photo by Seth Wenig-Pool/Getty Images)
Donald Trump's run for presidency has been jeopardized by the legal troubles connected to the Capitol insurrection (Seth Wenig-Pool/Getty Images)

Trump's triumph in Iowa marks a notable turnaround from the controversies he is engulfed in surrounding the Capitol insurrection and subsequent legal challenges. Despite challenges and a looming trial, Trump's victory signals a consequential step toward becoming the Republican standard-bearer. The political landscape has shifted dramatically over the past two years, showcasing his ability to navigate challenges and maintain a robust base. 

No clear rival emerged from the Iowa caucus

MIAMI, FLORIDA - NOVEMBER 08: Republican presidential candidates (L-R), former New Jersey Gov. Chris Christie, former U.N. Ambassador Nikki Haley, Florida Gov. Ron DeSantis, Vivek Ramaswamy and U.S. Sen. Tim Scott (R-SC) are introduced during the NBC News Republican Presidential Primary Debate at the Adrienne Arsht Center for the Performing Arts of Miami-Dade County on November 8, 2023 in Miami, Florida. Five presidential hopefuls squared off in the third Republican primary debate as former U.S. President Donald Trump, currently facing indictments in four locations, declined again to participate. (Photo by Anna Moneymaker/Getty Images)
(L-R) Chris Christie, Nikki Haley, Ron DeSantis, Vivek Ramaswamy, and Tim Scott were the primary GOP rivals of Donald Trump (Anna Moneymaker/Getty Images)

The anticipation surrounding who would secure second place in Iowa concluded with DeSantis claiming the runner-up position. However, the narrow margin between Haley and DeSantis, coupled with their commitment to continuous campaigning, highlights the absence of a clear rival who can pose a challenge to Trump. DeSantis' second-place finish aligns with Trump's divide-and-conquer strategy, maintaining control over a fragmented field. The withdrawal of candidate Vivek Ramaswamy further clears the path for him, as public opinion surveys indicate strong support for the former president. While Ramaswamy garnered about 8% in Iowa, every bit of backing counts. Furthermore, the biotech entrepreneur officially endorsed Trump for the GOP nomination after dropping out of the race.

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