Gavin Newsom says Trump knows Republicans are headed for midterm defeat: ‘He’s toast’

Newsom accused Trump of pushing Texas redistricting for five extra GOP seats as Democrats advanced a new California map ahead of the midterms
Gavin Newsom criticized Donald Trump while discussing redistricting and the upcoming midterm elections on 'Jimmy Kimmel Live!' (Screengrab/Jimmy Kimmel Live/YouTube)
Gavin Newsom criticized Donald Trump while discussing redistricting and the upcoming midterm elections on 'Jimmy Kimmel Live!' (Screengrab/Jimmy Kimmel Live/YouTube)

LOS ANGELES, CALIFORNIA: Gov. Gavin Newsom sharply criticized President Donald Trump, arguing that Republicans are heading toward major losses in the upcoming midterm elections.

Speaking during a late-night interview, Newsom pointed to recent political battles over redistricting and shifting voter sentiment on key national issues. He also highlighted California’s recent approval of a new congressional map that could potentially benefit Democrats in future elections.

MUNICH, GERMANY - FEBRUARY 13: Governor of California, Gavin Newsom, attends the Panel Discussion 'Playing With Fire: The Need for Decisive Climate Action' at the 62nd Munich Security Conference on February 13, 2026 in Munich, Germany. The conference, which brings together government leaders, security experts and defence ministers, is taking place at a time when the traditional western political and military alliance is facing rupture due to the policies of U.S. President Donald Trump. (Photo by Johannes Simon/Getty Images)
Gavin Newsom attended the panel discussion 'Playing With Fire: The Need for Decisive Climate' Action at the Munich Security Conference on February 13, 2026, in Munich, Germany (Johannes Simon/Getty Images) 

Gavin Newsom says Trump knows GOP faces defeat in midterm elections

Newsom said Tuesday, March 3, that Trump knows Republicans could suffer significant setbacks in this year’s midterms. He made the remarks while discussing California’s approval of a redistricting proposal in November that could give Democrats additional opportunities to gain seats.

“Trump is an historic president, historically unpopular. He’s going to get crushed, shellacked in the midterms. He is, he’s toast, and he knows it,” Newsom told ABC late-night host Jimmy Kimmel during an appearance on his show.

Newsom argued that Trump’s involvement in Texas redistricting efforts showed concern within Republican ranks about their electoral prospects.

“Why else did he call Texas Gov. Greg Abbott saying he’s quote, unquote ‘entitled’ to five seats in a mid-decade redistricting?” he said.

SAN RAFAEL, CALIFORNIA - NOVEMBER 03: In an aerial view, a Yes on 50 sign is posted on a walkway over Highway 101 on November 03, 2025 in San Rafael, California. California voters are deciding whether to approve Proposition 50, a measure that would replace the state’s current congressional district map with new, legislature-drawn lines from 2026 through 2030. The proposition was put forward as a response to Republican-controlled states redrawing their own maps to create an electoral advantage in the 2026 midterms. (Photo by Justin Sullivan/Getty Images)
A Yes on 50 sign was posted on a walkway over Highway 101 on November 3, 2025, in San Rafael, California (Justin Sullivan/Getty Images)

According to Newsom, Republicans in Texas moved forward with a GOP-leaning congressional map under pressure from the White House and national Republican leaders.

“They, of course, obliged in Texas. What Trump thought would follow was maybe a conversation about writing an op-ed in California to try to win the argument as they’re consolidating power,” Newsom added.

“Instead, we decided to redraw the lines, and over a 90-day period, raised $120 million and we kicked his a** in November,” he said.

In November, California voters approved Proposition 50, allowing the state to bypass its independent redistricting commission and adopt a new Democratic-leaning House map that could give Democrats four or five potential pickup opportunities in upcoming elections.

Newsom called for the special election on the proposition after Republicans in Texas passed a GOP-leaning House map under pressure from the White House and national Republicans.

President Donald Trump speaks during a bilateral meeting with German Chancellor Friedrich Merz in the Oval Office of the White House on March 03, 2026 in Washington, DC. Trump and Merz are expected to discuss a range of topics including the recent U.S. and Israeli attacks on Iran and international tariffs imposed by the Trump administration. (Photo by Win McNamee/Getty Images)
Donald Trump spoke during a bilateral meeting with German Chancellor Friedrich Merz in the Oval Office of the White House on March 3, 2026, in Washington, DC (Win McNamee/Getty Images) 

Trump approval ratings and potential 2028 Democratic contenders

Republicans are facing potential political headwinds heading into November, with polling indicating voter dissatisfaction with Trump’s handling of the economy and immigration, issues that have typically been among his strongest.

Trump’s approval rating among political independents has dropped to a new low, according to CNN polling. Only 32% of Americans say Trump has focused on the right priorities, while 68% believe he has not paid enough attention to the country’s most important problems.

At the same time, 61% of Americans say Trump’s policies are more likely to move the country in the wrong direction rather than the right one, compared with 38% who feel otherwise. His overall job approval rating among adults remains low at 36%.

Smoke rises on the skyline after an explosion in Tehran, Iran, Saturday, Feb. 28, 2026.(AP Photo)
Smoke rose over Tehran’s skyline after an explosion in Iran on February 28, 2026 (AP Photo)

When Trump addressed Congress last year for the first time since returning to the White House, his approval rating stood at 48% in CNN’s pre-speech polling, marking the highest level of support he had recorded in the network’s surveys.

Frustration within parts of the Republican base has also surfaced over issues such as the handling of the Epstein files, while the war in Iran risks alienating some of Trump’s “America First” supporters.

Meanwhile, Newsom has been floated as a possible Democratic contender in the 2028 presidential race, alongside other Democratic governors including JB Pritzker, Andy Beshear, and Gretchen Whitmer.

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