Stephen A Smith says Trump will cost GOP the midterms and 2028: ‘He’s going to blow it for himself’

Stephen A Smith warned that Republicans are headed for self-inflicted losses in the upcoming midterm elections
PUBLISHED JAN 16, 2026
Stephen A Smith said President Donald Trump’s behavior could cost Republicans the midterm elections and the White House (Getty Images)
Stephen A Smith said President Donald Trump’s behavior could cost Republicans the midterm elections and the White House (Getty Images)

NEW YORK CITY, NEW YORK: Sports media personality Stephen A Smith is predicting major electoral trouble for Republicans, placing the blame directly on President Donald Trump.

Speaking on 'Straight Shooter,' Smith warned that the GOP could lose the midterm elections and possibly the presidency in 2028 because of Trump’s conduct.



Stephen A Smith predicts GOP midterm losses

On a recent episode of 'Straight Shooter with Stephen A', Smith opened with a blunt forecast, warning that Republicans are headed for defeat in the upcoming midterm elections. He did not hedge his language or soften the warning, telling conservatives that the losses would be self-inflicted.

NEW ORLEANS, LOUISIANA - FEBRUARY 07: ESPN featured commentator and executive producer on set on February 07, 2025 in New Orleans, Louisiana. The Philadelphia Eagles and the Kansas City Chiefs will face each other on Sunday. (Photo by Aaron M. Sprecher/Getty Images
ESPN featured commentator and executive producer on set on February 07, 2025 in New Orleans, Louisiana. The Philadelphia Eagles and the Kansas City Chiefs will face each other on Sunday (Getty Images)

“To all the Republicans out there, to all the conservatives out there, you’re about to lose the midterms,” Smith said. “You’re going to lose. And you might lose the presidency in 2028, and it’s going to be at the fault of your president, Donald Trump.”

Smith stressed that his remarks were not partisan cheerleading but a political reality check, insisting that Trump’s behavior was alienating voters beyond the Republican base.

Stephen A Smith says Trump hurting GOP nationwide

The ESPN host went further, arguing that Donald Trump’s actions could ripple across every level of government if voters turn against the party.

NEW ORLEANS, LOUISIANA - FEBRUARY 05: Stephen A. Smith visits SiriusXM at Super Bowl LIX on February 05, 2025 in New Orleans, Louisiana. (Photo by Cindy Ord/Getty Images for SiriusXM)
Stephen A Smith visits SiriusXM at Super Bowl LIX on February 05, 2025 in New Orleans, Louisiana (Getty Images)

“He’s going to blow it for himself; he’s going to blow it for the GOP; he’s going to blow it for Congress; he’s going to blow it for the Senate; and he’s likely going to blow it for the White House,” Smith said.

Smith also revealed that he had privately shared his concerns with Sean Hannity, saying he had texted Hannity to warn that Trump’s approach was damaging Republican prospects.

Stephen A Smith cites ICE tactics fueling voter backlash

Stephen A Smith pointed to immigration enforcement as a key reason behind his prediction, citing growing public backlash over ICE operations and unrest in major cities.

“What you’re hearing about is chaos, chaos, chaos,” Smith said, referencing reports of aggressive immigration enforcement. He questioned why the focus appeared to have shifted away from targeting violent criminals and toward actions that, in his view, were unsettling ordinary Americans. “What happened to going after the hardcore criminals, as opposed to terrorizing everyday normal American citizens?” he asked.

MINNEAPOLIS, MINNESOTA - JANUARY 13: ICE agents detain a woman after pulling her from a car on January 13, 2026 in Minneapolis, Minnesota. The Trump administration has deployed over 2,400 Department of Homeland Security agents to the state of Minnesota in a push to apprehend undocumented immigrants. (Photo by Stephen Maturen/Getty Images)
ICE agents detain a woman after pulling her from a car on January 13, 2026 in Minneapolis, Minnesota. The Trump administration has deployed over 2,400 Department of Homeland Security agents to the state of Minnesota in a push to apprehend undocumented immigrants (Getty Images)

Smith suggested that these images and narratives were resonating with swing voters who may have previously supported Donald Trump but are now growing uneasy.

Stephen A Smith says Trump can’t stay quiet

Another major factor, Smith said, is President Donald Trump’s constant public commentary. Comparing Trump’s media presence to an addiction, Smith argued that the president simply cannot step back from the spotlight.

ABU NAKHLAH, QATAR - OCTOBER 25: U.S. President Donald Trump speaks to members of the media following a meeting with Emir of Qatar Sheikh Tamim ibn Hamad Al Thani and Prime Minister of Qatar Mohammed bin Abdulrahman bin Jassim bin Jaber Al Thani aboard Air Force One during a refueling stop at Al-Udeid Air Base on October 25, 2025 in Abu Nakhlah, Qatar. Trump is traveling to Malaysia for the Association of Southeast Asian Nations summit (ASEAN), Japan, and to South Korea for the Asia-Pacific Economic Cooperation forum (APEC). (Photo by Andrew Harnik/Getty Images)
President Donald Trump speaks to members of the media following a meeting with Emir of Qatar Sheikh Tamim ibn Hamad Al Thani and Prime Minister of Qatar Mohammed bin Abdulrahman bin Jassim bin Jaber Al Thani aboard Air Force One during a refueling stop at Al-Udeid Air Base on October 25, 2025 in Abu Nakhlah, Qatar (Getty Images)

“He doesn’t know how to be quiet,” Smith said, adding that even his own extensive broadcasting schedule pales in comparison to Trump’s nonstop commentary.

“He can’t stop. Every time you turn around, it’s something,” Smith added, arguing that the constant controversies exhaust voters and dominate headlines in ways that hurt Republicans down the ballot.

U.S. President Donald Trump listens during a Cabinet meeting at the White House on February 26, 2025 in Washington, DC. Trump is holding the first Cabinet meeting of his second term, joined by Tesla and SpaceX CEO Elon Musk, head of the Department of Government Efficiency (DOGE). (Photo by Andrew Harnik/Getty Images)
President Donald Trump listens during a Cabinet meeting at the White House on February 26, 2025 in Washington, DC (Getty Images)

Smith’s comments come as Trump himself has acknowledged the historical pattern of sitting presidents losing ground in midterm elections. In a recent interview with Sean Hannity, Trump noted that even successful administrations often face voter backlash in midterms.

Trump also warned that Democrats would likely pursue impeachment if they regained control of Congress, framing the midterms as a high-stakes political battle.

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