Trump’s Greenland mining hopes face three big obstacles, including US–Europe tensions: Analysts

Analysts says geography, local sentiments and geopolitics are three main hurdles Trump faces to Greenland's mineral rights
PUBLISHED JAN 31, 2026
Analysts have warned that Trump’s push for Greenland’s rare minerals will face infrastructural and political challenges (Dimitrios Kambouris/Getty Images, Sean Gallup/Getty Images)
Analysts have warned that Trump’s push for Greenland’s rare minerals will face infrastructural and political challenges (Dimitrios Kambouris/Getty Images, Sean Gallup/Getty Images)

Three challenges that undermine President Trump’s plan to extract Greenland’s mineral wealth

NUUK, GREENLAND: President Donald Trump recently announced the framework deal that would also include minerals right from Greenland. This is part of a plan to stop depending on China for these important materials, but experts say actually getting the minerals out of the ground will be much harder than making the deal.

Research firm Wood Mackenzie says there are three huge problems that make this plan difficult even if the US has permission to be there.

Topographic base map of Greenland (UTM Zone 24N) with mineral occurrence locations overlaid. (Greenland Portal)
Topographic base map of Greenland (UTM Zone 24N) with mineral occurrence locations overlaid (Greenland Portal)

Extreme cold, poor infrastructure key obstacles in Greenland

WoodMac analysts have said that “Greenland’s harsh natural environment and permanent ice cap is a significant barrier to commercial development of deposits.”

They also noted that “While the ice sheet is expected to recede over the coming century, it will continue to cover most inland areas, limiting exploration to the coastal fringes.”

The freezing cold and limited daylight makes it nearly impossible to keep machines running or workers safe. 

Companies would have to build their own power grids and roads from scratch, which could cost hundreds of billions of dollars.

To add on to the obstacles, only one port in the capital city, Nuuk, is modern enough to handle shipping year-round while the “ports near deposits in the south aren’t designed for commercial-scale export.”

As the analysts at Wood Mackenzie wrote, “All these issues can be overcome, but it will take time and money.”

Icebergs that broke off from the Jakobshavn Glacier float along Disko Bay on March 10, 2025, in Ilulissat, Greenland (Joe Raedle/Getty Images)
Icebergs that broke off from the Jakobshavn Glacier float along Disko Bay on March 10, 2025, in Ilulissat, Greenland (Joe Raedle/Getty Images)

Local pushback over mining expected in Greenland

The people who live in Greenland are very protective of their land and the environment. The local government has a history of fighting against large-scale mining to protect their environment. 

In 2021, the Inuit Ataqatigiit party won an election specifically by promising to stop certain mining projects, even passing laws to ban uranium mining.

Meanwhile, Greenland’s minerals minister, Naaja Nathanielsen, has made it clear that she will not let foreign powers take over their resources. 

In a recent interview, she vowed that her party was “not going to accept our future development of our mineral sector to be decided outside Greenland.” 

Analysts wrote, “any development will need to meet high standards for environmental and social impact,” which has certainly made it unclear as to how future US lead extraction would proceed. 

Colorful fishing houses perched on the rocky shoreline of an arctic island. Kangaamiut, Gammel Sukkertoppen, Qeqqata Municipality, Greenland. (Jason Edwards/The Image Bank)
Colorful fishing houses perched on the rocky shoreline of an arctic island. Kangaamiut, Gammel Sukkertoppen, Qeqqata Municipality, Greenland (Jason Edwards/The Image Bank)

 

Tense US-Europe relations

Furthermore, the WoodMac analysts pointed out the fractured relationship between the US and Europe. 

Greenland sits right between the two, so any mining deal would work best if both sides shared the costs and the risks. 

According to Wood Mackenzie, fixing this relationship is the only way forward, noting that “this would require cooperation at a time when the relationship between the US and the EU is under strain.” 

If the U.S. continues to push its allies away, Greenland has hinted it might turn to China for help instead. As Minister Nathanielsen warned, “We do want to partner up with European and American partners. But if they don’t show up I think we need to look elsewhere.”

RELATED TOPICS US GREENLAND RELATIONS AND ARCTIC SECURITY

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